Market Report 29.11.2024
Osterhorn, Friday, 29.11.2024
The US $ in EURO: 1,0560
What happened this week
It remains the case that the last quarter of the current year in no way corresponds to the usual developments of the last quarters of other years. The challenges lie much less in processing sales and responding to enquiries than in ensuring that all contracts are processed on time. Logistics is a big problem. The shipping companies seem to have abandoned all planning and what was known for so many years as reliable conference shipping has now fallen back to what used to be called tramp shipping. Ships come and go as they please, deadlines are not met, booked shipments are cancelled at short notice and the handling in the ports leaves more than a little to be desired. All at the expense of the person paying for the party, of course. By all accounts, things are not expected to get much better in the first quarter either. The Chinese New Year with its interruptions in the ports in Asia is always a challenge even in normal years. How will the shipping companies deal with it this year? We’ll find out in eight weeks‘ time. Otherwise, the market is becoming increasingly divided into two worlds. In Asia, leather production still seems to be relatively constant and stable. However, most customers, especially in China, are firmly convinced that the one-way street of prices is far from over. For cowhides in particular, the WeChat groups have obviously decided to try and reduce prices significantly once again. This is somewhat at odds with what is being reported from other supplier countries, but you always start somewhere. In Europe, the year is slowly coming to an end. The delivery programmes, which are traditionally planned in advance and coordinated with fixed delivery dates, are being adhered to and ensure that part of the production is largely secured until week 51. The possible connections from mid-January are not yet being discussed and this may not actually happen for another two weeks. So another week comes to a relatively uneventful end. The work in logistics and administration is very challenging, while sales activity is rather manageable. As a result, there were only a few sales to Asia this week and once again the real interest was in heavier, male hides, whereas only very aggressive price offers were seen for the classic female goods. These were hardly worthy of further consideration and therefore no real and serious business negotiations took place.
The kill
Only in terms of slaughtering are we seeing a normal final phase of the year. It is raining a lot, the temperatures are appropriate for the time of year and the meat business appears to be satisfactory both nationally and internationally. Prices for live cattle are still at a very high level, which is good for the farmers, but possibly more difficult for the margins on meat sales. The kill remains very high, in line with the time of year.
What do we expect
Our expectations last week that this week may point us in the right direction as to how tanners in Asia will deal with their strategy and requirements for the post-Chinese New Year period has obviously not materialised. What we do know is that the majority of tanners in northern China are definitely trying to drive down the prices of raw materials significantly. The argument is always to point to the falling prices for splits, but then it has to be said that it is really worrying if the decision to buy really only depends on how much money you get for the split. Normally, the grain is actually the part that exerts the main leverage on the costing. So we’ll wait another week and, depending on customer stock levels, the waiting time may well be extended again in Asia.
Price Table
Type | Weight range | Avg. green weight | Salted weight | Avg. weight salted | Price per kg | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ox | Heifers | 15/24,5 kg | 22,0/23,5 kg | 13/22 kg | 20/21 kg | € 0,90 | Steady |
25/29,5 kg | 27,5/28,5 kg | 22/27 kg | 25/26 kg | € 0,70 | Steady | |
Dairy cows | 15/24,5 kg | 22,5/23,5 kg | 13/22 kg | 20/21 kg | € 0,50 | Steady |
25/29,5 kg | 27,5/28,5 kg | 22/27 kg | 25/26 kg | € 0,50 | Steady | |
30/+ kg | 33,5/35,5 kg | 27/+ kg | 29/31 kg | € 0,50 | Steady | |
Bulls | 25/29,5 kg | 27,5/28,5 kg | 22/27 kg | 25/26 kg | € 0,90 | Steady |
30/39,5 kg | 36,0/37,0 kg | 24/34 kg | 31/33 kg | € 0,90 | Weaker | |
40/+ kg | 45,0/48,0 kg | 34/+ kg | 38/40 kg | € 0,95 | Weaker | |
Thirds | 15/+ kg | 25,0/27,5 kg | 13/+ kg | 24/26 kg | € 0,40 | Weak |
Thirds bulls | 30/+ kg | 38,0/40,0 kg | 24/+ kg | 33/36 kg | € 0,45 | Weaker |