Market Report 26.07.2024

Osterhorn, Friday, 26.07.2024

The US $ in EURO: 1,0865

What happened this week

Unless there is surprisingly major activity in Asia, there is really no need for market reports from mid-July to mid-August. While there used to be surprising events from time to time, even during the holiday season in Europe, this has almost completely disappeared in recent years. The leather factories have covered their reduced production with raw materials and are therefore almost completely absent from the market for several weeks. Of course, there are always the odd chance hits that can arise from individual situations, but this has nothing to do with market activity. The number of available dialogue partners in Europe will also fall considerably at the end of this week and this will hardly change in the next 2-3 weeks. The demand and procurement is based on the orders for leather and only those who believe in real miracles and surprises can assume that there will be any significant activity in Europe until the end of August. In Asia, the situation is somewhat mixed overall. While the main focus is on China, and here on the centres in Hebei and Shandong, there is probably not much good news to report at the moment. The business situation there is poor, which is reflected not only in a general reluctance to buy, but also in the well-known background noise in this market when prices fall and orders are lacking. Otherwise, China is focussing on low-priced raw materials and trying to keep prices down wherever possible. In the opinion of the tanners, the supply of raw materials still exceeds the demand for leather, so the parameters for the market situation are actually set. Of course, this is only true for those who see the situation the same way and there are still those who expect a different view and a trend reversal in autumn.  Selling was again rather random this week. The volume buyers did not appear on the market and most of the business was done with specialists and niche producers, which is in no way representative of the market trend.

The kill

The kill fell considerably this week, which is of course due to the start of the holidays in our region. In the coming weeks, too, we expect at most slight changes at the reduced level. Meat production is only supported to a small extent by local demand. Milk prices have now reached a good level again and the weather conditions for grazing cattle in northern Germany are exceptionally good. As a result, a significant increase in slaughtering activity is not expected until mid-September.

What do we expect

As the general environment on the global leather market remains unchanged, we do not need to cite any arguments that could trigger a trend reversal. We are now approaching critical price levels at which the collection and processing of cattle hides may no longer be economically viable for the leather industry. Further price pressure and a further slide cannot be prevented with this argument, but in the medium term it would actually lead to a reduction in supply. However, we are not alone in the world and this may not lead to a stabilisation of prices. Next week is the holiday period and then everyone will want to wait for the meeting at the trade fair in Shanghai. We therefore expect that not too much will change, but the pressure on prices should continue.

Price Table

Type Weight range Avg. green weight Salted weight Avg. weight salted Price per kg Trend
Ox | Heifers 15/24,5 kg 22,0/23,5 kg 13/22 kg 20/21 kg € 1,00 Weaker
25/29,5 kg 27,5/28,5 kg 22/27 kg 25/26 kg € 0,80 Weaker
Dairy cows 15/24,5 kg 22,5/23,5 kg 13/22 kg 20/21 kg € 0,50 Weak
25/29,5 kg 27,5/28,5 kg 22/27 kg 25/26 kg € 0,50 Weaker
30/+ kg 33,5/35,5 kg 27/+ kg 29/31 kg € 0,50 Weak
Bulls 25/29,5 kg 27,5/28,5 kg 22/27 kg 25/26 kg € 0,90 Weak
30/39,5 kg 36,0/37,0 kg 24/34 kg 31/33 kg € 0,90 Weak
40/+ kg 45,0/48,0 kg 34/+ kg 38/40 kg € 0,95 Weak
Thirds 15/+ kg 25,0/27,5 kg 13/+ kg 24/26 kg € 0,40 Weak
Thirds bulls 30/+ kg 38,0/40,0 kg 24/+ kg 33/36 kg € 0,50 Waek

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