Market Report 07.12.2024
Osterhorn, Saturday, 07.12.2024
The US $ in EURO: 1,0530
What happened this week
This week, too, many players were hoping for news from the market, but overall very little is happening. In the European leather industry, and this is hardly surprising, there seems to be an increasing focus on the current difficult situation and the outlook. Even if there are few tangible facts available due to the small number of companies that have to publish their results and decisions, it is possible to recognise from the little data and information that the situation and prospects are or can hardly be positive. Changes at management level, announcements of redundancies and negative business results are obviously just the tip of the iceberg of the whole situation. One cannot and should by no means generalise, but a second look at the realities certainly does no harm. For the hide market in Europe, this also meant very little activity and movement last week. There was only talk of raw material deliveries where production simply had to be supplied. However, most customers report that they could actually take a longer production break without any problems and without this leading to delivery problems due to a lack of stocks of raw or semi-finished products. In the meantime, the focus in Europe is increasingly turning to alternative uses for bovine hides. As mentioned so often, sooner or later all markets rebalance. In Europe, this initially means that there will be a partial and short-term lack of lime splits due to a decline in the production of bovine hides. Now the are just taken and limed for the sole purpose of supplying the collagen industry. This removes goods that are actually destined for the leather industry from the market and thus reduces a certain supply pressure. Whether this will actually be a permanent solution seems rather unlikely and remains to be seen. Reports from China and the responses from customers in some regions there point to a similar scenario. The revenue for the split is much more important today, determines prices much more strongly and often seems to be the actual criterion for buying or not buying raw materials. In any case, buyers from Asia again tried to exert greater pressure on prices this week. The upcoming Christmas break in Europe and the subsequent break in Asia will only lead to the question of whether and to what extent these breaks could be extended. For this week’s sales, we can only report that sales were limited to spot transactions and that these were largely restricted to heavy male hides.
The kill
Slaughtering remains high, but we are already receiving clear signals that many of the smaller and medium-sized slaughterhouses are also planning to close for longer periods. Public holidays are in the middle of the week this year and it is probably easier to build up sufficient stocks before the holidays than to go to the expense and trouble of opening on individual days of the week. The situation is slightly different for large slaughterhouses, but all in all we expect a noticeable reduction in the kill from week 51 onwards.
What do we expect
At the moment, we are almost exclusively occupied with planning production and logistics until 2025. It is almost impossible to plan transports and shipping overseas at the moment. The New Year celebrations in Asia are casting their shadows ahead and even trucking companies in Europe seem to be almost completely shutting down their operations during the holiday weeks. This is often an extremely big problem for our business. Over the next few weeks, we will certainly have to start discussing with the regular customers how things can continue in 2025 and whether we will be provided with reasonably reliable information. Demand from Asia remains a mystery, but even there we have to think about supply for the period after the New Year celebrations. However, we think it is very unlikely that any tanner currently considers the supply of raw materials to be their key problem.
Price Table
Type | Weight range | Avg. green weight | Salted weight | Avg. weight salted | Price per kg | Trend |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ox | Heifers | 15/24,5 kg | 22,0/23,5 kg | 13/22 kg | 20/21 kg | € 0,80 | Steady |
25/29,5 kg | 27,5/28,5 kg | 22/27 kg | 25/26 kg | € 0,70 | Steady | |
Dairy cows | 15/24,5 kg | 22,5/23,5 kg | 13/22 kg | 20/21 kg | € 0,50 | Steady |
25/29,5 kg | 27,5/28,5 kg | 22/27 kg | 25/26 kg | € 0,50 | Steady | |
30/+ kg | 33,5/35,5 kg | 27/+ kg | 29/31 kg | € 0,50 | Steady | |
Bulls | 25/29,5 kg | 27,5/28,5 kg | 22/27 kg | 25/26 kg | € 0,90 | Steady |
30/39,5 kg | 36,0/37,0 kg | 24/34 kg | 31/33 kg | € 0,90 | Weaker | |
40/+ kg | 45,0/48,0 kg | 34/+ kg | 38/40 kg | € 0,95 | Weaker | |
Thirds | 15/+ kg | 25,0/27,5 kg | 13/+ kg | 24/26 kg | € 0,40 | Weak |
Thirds bulls | 30/+ kg | 38,0/40,0 kg | 24/+ kg | 33/36 kg | € 0,45 | Weaker |